7
Growth Capital
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 77
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Penn National | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength46%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 17% | -0.66 |
| 04/01/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/01/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/02/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 05/03/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 21/04/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 12/05/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 13% | -0.59 |
| 17/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 27/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |