6
Mo Caliente
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 69
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Turfway Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-10 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength24%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/2024 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 10/08/2025 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 56% | -0.37 |
| 27/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 10/09/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 22/10/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 17/12/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/01/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 30/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |