3
Secret Bagent Man
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 73
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength17%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 07/03/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |
| 31/03/2026 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 60% | -0.35 |
| 08/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/04/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 29% | -0.60 |
| 11/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 28/05/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 17/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 20/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |