Tap Em
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 82
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-10-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-09-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 12/08/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 28/08/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 07/09/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 17/09/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 13/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 12/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |