1
Zippy Gizmo
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 64
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 09/08/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 31/08/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 28/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 13/05/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 24/06/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 44% | -0.24 |
| 08/07/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |
| 20/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |