7
Flat Out Diamonds
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 80
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
80%
Place Prob
65%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-01 | Mountaineer | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 14
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength62%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 11/09/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 01/10/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 13/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 60% | -0.36 |
| 30/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 19/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 01/06/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 11% | -0.52 |
| 16/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |