9
Priyanka
6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 61
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength35%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-07-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-11-05 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 19/08/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 29% | -0.60 |
| 07/10/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 19/10/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 05/11/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 27/05/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |