Tiger Division
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 77
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-03-11 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2025 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 05/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |
| 01/03/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 11/03/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 90% | +0.27 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 25/05/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 03/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |