Ghostlyprince
8yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 59
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-10-16 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 14/03/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.36 |
| 16/07/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 29% | -0.35 |
| 31/08/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 17/09/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 16/10/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 22/11/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 28/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |