Mr Harry
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 68
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Mountaineer | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-07-31 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-07-16 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/06/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 06/07/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 16/07/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |
| 31/07/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 12/08/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 31/08/2025 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 01/07/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 13/07/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |