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7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 76
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 12
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength3%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 08/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 21/09/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 09/10/2025 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 17/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 22/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |