1
Unraptured
7yo Horse · 8-12 · OR 82
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-09 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength44%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 05/05/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 19/08/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 09/09/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 20/04/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 09/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 07/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |