2
Hall Of Jazz
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 73
Penn National · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-11-06 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-10-22 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength38%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 06/11/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 20/12/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |