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Letspumpthebrakes

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 66

Penn National · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

51%

Place Prob

45%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Penn National 11/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 6f 12111/06C9C9 @ Penn National 26/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 62 · 6f Fas 122 · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 62 par26/06C9OR 62C7 @ Penn National 09/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 64 · 6f Slo 120 · below its mark09/07/2026 · OR 64 par9/07C7OR 64projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09Penn National?3rd3rd0
2026-06-26Penn National?1st3rd−2
2026-06-11Penn National?4th6th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0626/069/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength45%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/06/20264th10/147%50%+0.03
26/06/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
09/07/20263rd13/266%50%-0.16