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8

Techstar

3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 75

Penn National · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

24%

Place Prob

27%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼3
Strength82%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Delaware Park 03/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS3/07C6C5 @ Delaware Park 14/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 88 · 6f Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/08/2025 · OR 88 parC6 @ Delaware Park 18/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 76 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/09/2025 · OR 76 par18/09C6OR 76C6 @ Delaware Park 08/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 80 · 6f Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/10/2025 · OR 80 parC6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 07/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 75 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/03/2026 · OR 75 par7/03C6OR 75C6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 14/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 71 · 5f Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/03/2026 · OR 71 parC6 @ Delaware Park 10/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 66 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 66 par10/06C6OR 66C6 @ Delaware Park 21/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 74 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/07/2026 · OR 74 par21/07C6OR 74projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-21Delaware Park?5th2nd+3
2026-06-10Delaware Park?4th1st+3
2026-03-14Tampa Bay Downs?8th5th+3
2026-03-07Tampa Bay Downs?6th3rd+3
2025-10-08Delaware Park?3rd0th+3
2025-09-18Delaware Park?2nd-1th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/078/1010/0621/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength26%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/07/20252nd7/163%83%+0.20
14/08/20255th9/153%20%-0.33
18/09/20252nd4/179%89%+0.10
08/10/20253rd15/890%71%-0.19
07/03/20266th10/382%38%-0.45
14/03/20268th12/137%22%-0.15
10/06/20264th3/184%25%-0.59
21/07/20265th3/184%43%-0.41