1
Lucky Double Zero
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 57
Penn National · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Penn National | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength56%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 12/09/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 31/10/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 10/04/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 25% | -0.67 |
| 07/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 28/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 12/06/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |