3
On Secret Service
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 57
Penn National · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength56%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 33% | -0.59 |
| 17/07/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 10/09/2025 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 24/04/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 07/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |