1

Little Miss Linda

5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 44

Penn National · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Penn National 06/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 1m Fm 1256/08C9C9 @ Penn National 20/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 52 · 1m70y Fm 123 · below its mark20/08/2025 · OR 52 par20/08C9OR 52projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-08-20Penn National?3rd3rd0
2025-08-06Penn National?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0820/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength11%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/08/20253rd10/147%60%+0.13
20/08/20253rd9/276%50%-0.26