6
Quirke On Parole
4yo Filly · 10-5 · OR 49
Pontefract · Honda Wakefield Super-N Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 2f 5y
#6
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Southwell | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Nottingham | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Beverley | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Ripon | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Beverley | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-09-18 | Pontefract | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 15/07/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 01/09/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 56% | -0.23 |
| 18/09/2025 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 25% | -0.63 |
| 15/04/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 17/05/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |
| 16/06/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 23/07/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |