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4

Star Start

6yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 55

Pontefract · Honda Wakefield Super-N Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 2f 5y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

98%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dead heated at Beverley prior to landing this race from a 4 lb higher mark 12 months ago. Mixed bag initially this season but confirmed his return to form and had a couple of these rivals behind when second back at Beverley (1¼m, good) 8 days ago. Should be thereabouts again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength57%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Beverley 17/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 62 · 1m1f207y Sft 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/09/2025 · OR 62 par17/095OR 625 @ Wolverhampton 06/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 63 · 1m1f104y Std 149 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/10/2025 · OR 63 par5 @ Doncaster 29/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 22 · OR 62 · 1m GS 150 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 62 par29/035OR 625 @ Nottingham 18/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 61 · 1m2f50y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 61 par6 @ Pontefract 29/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 60 · 1m6y Goo 130 · beat its mark29/04/2026 · OR 60 par29/046OR 606 @ Leicester 09/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 59 · 1m53y Goo 129 · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 59 par5 @ Pontefract 29/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 57 · 1m2f5y Goo 145 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 57 par29/065OR 576 @ Beverley 14/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 55 · 1m1f207y Goo 132 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Beverley 28/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 55 · 1m1f207y Goo 148 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 55 par28/076OR 55projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-28Beverley62nd2nd0
2026-07-14Beverley63rd3rd0
2026-06-29Pontefract55th4th+1
2026-05-09Leicester68th8th0
2026-04-29Pontefract63rd3rd0
2026-04-18Nottingham55th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0918/0429/0628/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength73%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/09/20252nd10/147%90%+0.43
06/10/20256th22/10%58%+0.58
29/03/20269th28/10%62%+0.62
18/04/20265th11/142%69%+0.27
29/04/20263rd9/276%75%-0.01
09/05/20268th9/153%13%-0.40
29/06/20265th16/116%43%+0.27
14/07/20263rd17/255%75%+0.20
28/07/20262nd5/287%86%-0.01