Sunny Orange
6yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 59
Pontefract · Honda Wakefield Super-N Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 2f 5y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Beverley | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Beverley | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Beverley | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Beverley | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-15 | Wetherby | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Beverley | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 12/05/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 27/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 23/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 03/07/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 70% | +0.12 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 88% | +0.45 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |