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Chief Minister

2yo Colt · 9-7

Pontefract · Jayne - On Course Lady Bookmaker EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Mattmu colt who was easy to back and went with little encouragement when ninth of 10 in a Newbury novice (6f) on debut 18 days ago. This can reveal more but passed over in any case.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 18/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 6f GF 12818/074
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Newbury49th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength6%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/20269th40/10%11%+0.11