6

Rock Steady Beat

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 76

Pontefract · Jayne - On Course Lady Bookmaker EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

99%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Stepped up on his debut effort when second at Carlisle (5f, soft) in June prior to finishing a rather disappointing third of 6 in a Redcar novice (5f) later that month. Subsequently gelded and he appeals as the type to get back on track now returned to 6f from the plum draw.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength68%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ York 14/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 6f Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS14/0523 @ Carlisle 09/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 5f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS9/0634 @ Redcar 20/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 5f Gd 13320/064projClass-projected finish: 1st of 1
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-20Redcar43rd3rd0
2026-06-09Carlisle32nd1st+1
2026-05-14York26th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/059/0620/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength53%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/05/20266th6/168%64%-0.04
09/06/20262nd5/696%86%-0.10
20/06/20263rd4/179%60%-0.19