5
Cosmos Raj
8yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 65
Pontefract · RIU Hotels And Resorts Ladies Day Veterans' Handicap · 1m 6y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength49%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Doncaster | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-16 | Thirsk | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Pontefract | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Carlisle | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Redcar | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-29 | Pontefract | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2025 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 39% | +0.02 |
| 06/08/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 03/10/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 29/04/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 08/06/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 29/06/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 16/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |