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4

Narmar

6yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 71

Pontefract · RIU Hotels And Resorts Ladies Day Veterans' Handicap · 1m 6y

#4

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

In good form back on turf last summer, gaining a first success for current yard at Ffos Las in June. However, he's gone the wrong way in 3 starts this season, tailed off at York (10.3f) on latest outing. Tongue strap refitted.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength61%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 04/04/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 76 · 1m13y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/04/2025 · OR 76 par4/044OR 764 @ Nottingham 12/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 74 · 1m75y Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/06/2025 · OR 74 par5 @ Ffos Las 30/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 74 · 1m GS 141 · beat its mark30/06/2025 · OR 74 par30/065OR 744 @ Windsor 14/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 77 · 1m31y GF 142 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/07/2025 · OR 77 par4 @ Chester 26/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 77 · 1m2f70y Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/07/2025 · OR 77 par26/074OR 774 @ Windsor 14/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 76 · 1m2f GF 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/08/2025 · OR 76 par4 @ Thirsk 18/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 76 · 7f Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 76 par18/044OR 765 @ Windsor 07/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 75 · 1m31y Goo 135 · below its mark07/05/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ York 12/06/2026 · Pos 18th of 18 · OR 73 · 1m2f56y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 73 par12/064OR 73projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-12York418th17th+1
2026-05-07Windsor511th11th0
2026-04-18Thirsk410th9th+1
2025-08-14Windsor42nd1st+1
2025-07-26Chester44th3rd+1
2025-07-14Windsor43rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0414/0718/0412/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength9%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/04/202510th9/153%18%-0.34
12/06/20253rd10/147%71%+0.24
30/06/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
14/07/20253rd17/255%71%+0.16
26/07/20254th8/158%63%+0.05
14/08/20252nd16/116%91%+0.75
18/04/202610th16/116%18%+0.02
07/05/202611th14/126%0%-0.26
12/06/202618th50/10%0%0.00