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Spirit Genie

6yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 75

Pontefract · RIU Hotels And Resorts Ladies Day Veterans' Handicap · 1m 6y

#3

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Shaped well from his reduced mark at York (7f) on reappearance and hasn't been seen to best effect after starting slowly both outings since. Drops in grade here and he's interesting switched to blinkers with Jason Hart taking over in the saddle.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength71%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Chester 09/05/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 88 · 7f127y Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/05/2025 · OR 88 par9/052OR 884 @ Carlisle 05/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 86 · 7f173y Sft 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/07/2025 · OR 86 par4 @ Chester 03/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 84 · 7f127y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/08/2025 · OR 84 par3/084OR 844 @ Ascot 05/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 82 · 1m Sft 151 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/09/2025 · OR 82 par4 @ Chester 12/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 82 · 7f1y Goo 137 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/09/2025 · OR 82 par12/094OR 824 @ Chester 20/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 81 · 7f127y Sft 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/09/2025 · OR 81 par4 @ York 15/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 22 · OR 80 · 7f Gd 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 80 par15/054OR 804 @ Chester 12/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 79 · 7f1y GS 155 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 79 par4 @ York 27/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 77 · 1m2f56y Goo 153 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 77 par27/064OR 77projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-27York412th11th+1
2026-06-12Chester48th7th+1
2026-05-15York47th6th+1
2025-09-20Chester43rd2nd+1
2025-09-12Chester44th3rd+1
2025-09-05Ascot44th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/055/0915/0527/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength16%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/05/202512th14/126%15%-0.11
05/07/20255th15/261%60%-0.01
03/08/20254th11/271%67%-0.04
05/09/20254th11/142%67%+0.25
12/09/20254th11/271%67%-0.04
20/09/20253rd11/486%71%-0.14
15/05/20267th40/10%71%+0.71
12/06/20268th15/261%30%-0.31
27/06/202612th28/10%15%+0.15