1
Betweenthesticks
6yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 68
Pontefract · FBS Chartered Accountants Chaplins Club Handicap · 5f 3y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
90%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Pontefract | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Pontefract | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Ripon | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Pontefract | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Ripon | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Pontefract | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 09/10/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 04/04/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 21/04/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/5 | 88% | 86% | -0.03 |
| 22/05/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 11% | -0.47 |
| 03/06/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |