2
Le Beau Garcon
7yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 67
Pontefract · FBS Chartered Accountants Chaplins Club Handicap · 5f 3y
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Beverley | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Thirsk | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Catterick | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Ripon | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Southwell | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-09-09 | Catterick | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength12%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 04/07/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.48 |
| 11/07/2025 | 16th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/09/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 92% | +0.76 |
| 29/09/2025 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 9% | -0.07 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 16/06/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 28/07/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |