3

Spirit Of Applause

6yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 67

Pontefract · FBS Chartered Accountants Chaplins Club Handicap · 5f 3y

#6

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Started 2026 with a trio of creditable in-frame efforts and had a possible excuse (ended up away from there the main action unfolded) at York last time. Refitted blinkers replace the cheekpieces he's worn so far this season. Capable off this mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength54%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 21/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 66 · 4f214y Sta 129 · beat its mark21/09/2025 · OR 66 par21/095OR 662 @ Nottingham 02/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 66 · 6f18y Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/10/2025 · OR 66 par4 @ Southwell 24/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 70 · 4f214y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/10/2025 · OR 70 par24/104OR 705 @ Newcastle 07/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 69 · 5f Std 134 · beat its mark07/11/2025 · OR 69 par5 @ Newcastle 17/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 69 · 5f Std 134 · beat its mark17/11/2025 · OR 69 par17/115OR 695 @ Beverley 16/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 69 · 5f Goo 134 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Nottingham 02/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 68 · 5f8y Goo 131 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 68 par2/075OR 685 @ Doncaster 09/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 68 · 5f143y GF 155 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 68 par4 @ York 24/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 21 · OR 68 · 6f Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 68 par24/074OR 68projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24York410th9th+1
2026-07-09Doncaster53rd3rd0
2026-07-02Nottingham53rd3rd0
2026-06-16Beverley54th4th0
2025-11-17Newcastle53rd3rd0
2025-11-07Newcastle53rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/097/112/0724/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
02/10/20257th10/147%54%+0.06
24/10/20254th3/184%63%-0.22
07/11/20253rd11/893%85%-0.08
17/11/20253rd10/382%75%-0.07
16/06/20264th22/10%63%+0.63
02/07/20263rd11/486%60%-0.26
09/07/20263rd9/276%78%+0.01
24/07/202610th25/10%55%+0.55