3
Aberama Gold
9yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 77
Pontefract · Bet With Jayne - Your Local Bookmaker Handicap · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | York | 4 | 20th | 20th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Catterick | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Ayr | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Pontefract | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Hamilton | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength29%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 22/04/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 38% | -0.44 |
| 17/05/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 02/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 69% | -0.07 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 24/07/2026 | 20th | 12/1 | 37% | 5% | -0.32 |