5
Mae Amor
4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 77
Pontefract · Bet With Jayne - Your Local Bookmaker Handicap · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Goodwood | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Carlisle | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Musselburgh | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | York | 4 | 18th | 18th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Hamilton | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength28%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2025 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 03/11/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 24/11/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 20/12/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/05/2026 | 1st | 66/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 23/05/2026 | 18th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.16 |
| 06/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/07/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 29% | +0.23 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |