7

Mister Sox

6yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 74

Pontefract · Bet With Jayne - Your Local Bookmaker Handicap · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Narrow winner at Ripon last summer. Mixed record this season and needs to shrug off a couple of disappointing runs at York.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength51%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ripon 16/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR 79 · 6f GS 129 · beat its mark16/04/2026 · OR 79 par16/044OR 794 @ Thirsk 02/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 78 · 6f Goo 133 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ York 23/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 20 · OR 79 · 6f Goo 134 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 79 par23/054OR 793 @ Carlisle 30/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 78 · 5f182y Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ York 12/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 20 · OR 76 · 7f Gd 131 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 76 par12/064OR 763 @ Pontefract 21/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 74 · 6f Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 74 par3 @ Thirsk 01/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 74 · 6f Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 74 par1/073OR 744 @ York 11/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 19 · OR 75 · 6f Goo 130 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ York 24/07/2026 · Pos 14th of 18 · OR 75 · 7f Goo 130 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 75 par24/074OR 75projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24York414th14th0
2026-07-11York412th12th0
2026-07-01Thirsk32nd1st+1
2026-06-21Pontefract33rd2nd+1
2026-06-12York412th12th0
2026-05-30Carlisle37th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0430/051/0724/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength19%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/04/202611th8/158%33%-0.25
02/05/20262nd4/179%88%+0.09
23/05/20268th18/15%63%+0.58
30/05/20267th9/153%54%+0.01
12/06/202612th22/10%42%+0.42
21/06/20263rd5/287%60%-0.27
01/07/20262nd9/276%89%+0.13
11/07/202612th13/266%39%-0.27
24/07/202614th14/126%24%-0.03