IvyArcIvyArc
1

The Good Biscuit

5yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 78

Pontefract · Bet With Jayne - Your Local Bookmaker Handicap · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

1/1

Win Prob

88%

Place Prob

70%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful twice at this course last year and arrives here in top form after wins at Catterick and over C&D in recent weeks. Must be respected under a penalty.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength46%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Catterick 28/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 70 · 5f212y Sft 133 · beat its mark28/10/2025 · OR 70 par28/104OR 704 @ Catterick 08/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 77 · 5f212y Goo 127 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Pontefract 29/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 77 · 6f Goo 127 · beat its mark29/04/2026 · OR 77 par29/044OR 774 @ Chester 08/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 77 · 6f17y Goo 130 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Hamilton 17/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 78 · 6f6y Gd 133 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 78 par17/054OR 784 @ Pontefract 02/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 78 · 6f Goo 134 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 78 par3 @ Pontefract 21/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 77 · 6f Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 77 par21/063OR 774 @ Catterick 15/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 75 · 5f212y GF 138 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ Pontefract 26/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 78 · 6f Goo 133 · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 78 par26/074OR 78projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Pontefract41st1st0
2026-07-15Catterick41st1st0
2026-06-21Pontefract34th3rd+1
2026-06-02Pontefract44th4th0
2026-05-17Hamilton48th8th0
2026-05-08Chester42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/108/0521/0626/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength80%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/10/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
08/04/20263rd7/163%75%+0.12
29/04/20262nd9/276%80%+0.04
08/05/20262nd11/271%91%+0.20
17/05/20268th17/255%42%-0.14
02/06/20264th4/179%63%-0.16
21/06/20264th11/271%40%-0.31
15/07/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
26/07/20261st1/195%100%+0.05