4
Uppercase
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 77
Pontefract · Bet With Jayne - Your Local Bookmaker Handicap · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Catterick | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Yarmouth | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-07 | Pontefract | 5 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2025-07-22 | Lingfield | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-07-08 | Pontefract | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength97%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/2024 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 21/09/2024 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 21/05/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 08/07/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 22/07/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 07/04/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 16/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |