2
Something
5yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 77
Pontefract · Napoleons Casino Bradford Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 2m 1f 27y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
92%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Catterick | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Ripon | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Pontefract | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Ripon | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Doncaster | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Yarmouth | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 3
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength60%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 3. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 01/01/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 04/02/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.07 |
| 11/04/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 42% | -0.06 |
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 28/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 08/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 17/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |