4
Cole's Valentine
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 58
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-04-28 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/2024 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 20% | -0.69 |
| 09/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |