2
English Indy
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 42
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength6%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 15/08/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/08/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 10/09/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/09/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 13/10/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 10/06/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 21/07/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |