6

Lazy Y Legacy

4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 63

Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y

#2

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength46%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Turfway Park 29/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 6f110y Fas 12029/03C9C6 @ Keeneland 18/04/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 84 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/04/2025 · OR 84 par18/04C6OR 84C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 69 · 5f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/06/2025 · OR 69 par7/06C6OR 69C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 67 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark03/07/2025 · OR 67 par3/07C9OR 67C9 @ Colonial Downs 20/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 72 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark20/08/2025 · OR 72 par20/08C9OR 72C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 23/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 66 · 1m110y Gd 124 · below its mark23/06/2026 · OR 66 par23/06C9OR 66projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-23Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2025-08-20Colonial Downs?2nd2nd0
2025-07-03Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2025-06-07Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd0th+3
2025-04-18Keeneland?10th7th+3
2025-03-29Turfway Park?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0318/047/063/0720/0823/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength67%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/03/20252nd20/10%90%+0.90
18/04/202510th12/137%18%-0.19
07/06/20253rd10/147%67%+0.19
03/07/20252nd9/276%83%+0.07
20/08/20252nd10/382%86%+0.03
23/06/20262nd13/891%89%-0.03