3
No Solution
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 51
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#5
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength55%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-02 | Penn National | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-12-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-10-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength39%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/11/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/12/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 02/06/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |