4
Thy Name Is Woman
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 50
Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength6%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 25/08/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 43% | -0.45 |
| 03/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 23/09/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 13/10/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 02/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |