Braggart Joe
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 84
Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-06-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-31 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-10-16 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2024 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 19/05/2025 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 27/05/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 16/10/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 07/11/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 31/12/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 25/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 02/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |