IvyArcIvyArc
2

Lets Get It On

4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 80

Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

70%

Place Prob

48%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength65%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 06/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS6/08C6C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 19/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 86 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/08/2025 · OR 86 par19/08C5OR 86C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 08/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 89 · 1m Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/09/2025 · OR 89 par8/09C5OR 89C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 30/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 90 · 1m 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/09/2025 · OR 90 par30/09C5OR 90C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 16/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 91 · 1m Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/10/2025 · OR 91 par16/10C5OR 91C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 26/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 87 · 5f110y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/05/2026 · OR 87 par26/05C6OR 87C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 15/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 82 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark15/07/2026 · OR 82 par15/07C8OR 82projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-15Presque Isle Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-05-26Presque Isle Downs?4th2nd+2
2025-10-16Presque Isle Downs?1st-2th+3
2025-09-30Presque Isle Downs?5th2nd+3
2025-09-08Presque Isle Downs?5th2nd+3
2025-08-19Presque Isle Downs?3rd0th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0830/0915/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 5
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength49%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/08/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
19/08/20253rd10/382%50%-0.32
08/09/20255th7/282%20%-0.62
30/09/20255th7/163%50%-0.13
16/10/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
26/05/20264th7/163%25%-0.38
15/07/20263rd8/158%60%+0.02