2
Miss M M
6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 66
Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 30/08/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 14/09/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 04/05/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |