IvyArcIvyArc
6

Fuoco

9yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 62

Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 30/07/2022 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 89 · 5f110y Fm 124 · below its mark30/07/2022 · OR 89 par30/07C6OR 89C6 @ Saratoga 27/08/2022 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 90 · 5f110y Gd 124 · below its mark27/08/2022 · OR 90 parC6 @ Aqueduct 18/11/2022 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 90 · 6f Gd 124 · below its mark18/11/2022 · OR 90 par18/11C6OR 90C6 @ Mountaineer 08/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 86 · 6f Gd 123 · below its mark08/07/2025 · OR 86 parC6 @ Mountaineer 11/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 78 · 5f Fm 123 · beat its mark11/08/2025 · OR 78 par11/08C6OR 78C6 @ Mountaineer 10/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 71 · 5f Fm 126 · beat its mark10/09/2025 · OR 71 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 02/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 70 · 6f 125 · beat its mark02/10/2025 · OR 70 par2/10C6OR 70C9 @ Presque Isle Downs 16/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 72 · 6f Fas 125 · below its mark16/10/2025 · OR 72 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 29/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 59 · 6f Fas 125 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 59 par29/06C6OR 59projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-29Presque Isle Downs?3rd3rd0
2025-10-16Presque Isle Downs?7th10th−3
2025-10-02Presque Isle Downs?3rd3rd0
2025-09-10Mountaineer?2nd2nd0
2025-08-11Mountaineer?2nd2nd0
2025-07-08Mountaineer?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/078/072/1029/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength22%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/07/20225th14/126%56%+0.29
27/08/20224th12/137%57%+0.20
18/11/20225th11/893%43%-0.50
08/07/20256th8/158%44%-0.13
11/08/20252nd13/891%88%-0.04
10/09/20252nd11/893%80%-0.13
02/10/20253rd10/147%67%+0.19
16/10/20257th7/282%0%-0.82
29/06/20263rd10/147%67%+0.19