Del Rayo
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 82
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-20 | Turf Paradise | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-12-18 | Turf Paradise | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 25/10/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 09/12/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 18/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 20/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 14/05/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 04/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 29/06/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |