3
Drunkle
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 73
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength54%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 22/07/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 13/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 10/09/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 23/09/2025 | 1st | 1/5 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 16/10/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 22/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |