5

Maynard

7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 88

Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#5

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength37%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 09/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 98 · 1m110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/10/2025 · OR 98 par9/10C5OR 98C7 @ Presque Isle Downs 22/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 98 · 1m110y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/10/2025 · OR 98 parC0 @ Gulfstream 29/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 1m70y Fas 11429/11C?C7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 17/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 89 · 1m39y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/12/2025 · OR 89 parC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 02/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 80 · 1m70y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/06/2026 · OR 80 par2/06C6OR 80C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 10/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 82 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 82 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 24/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 83 · 1m70y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/06/2026 · OR 83 par24/06C7OR 83C7 @ Presque Isle Downs 14/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 86 · 1m110y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/07/2026 · OR 86 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 29/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 88 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 88 par29/07C8OR 88projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-07-14Presque Isle Downs?5th4th+1
2026-06-24Presque Isle Downs?5th4th+1
2026-06-10Presque Isle Downs?4th4th0
2026-06-02Presque Isle Downs?7th5th+2
2025-12-17Tampa Bay Downs?8th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1017/1224/0629/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength91%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/10/20253rd3/184%60%-0.24
22/10/20254th5/174%40%-0.34
29/11/20256th33/10%0%0.00
17/12/20258th40/10%0%0.00
02/06/20267th40/10%0%0.00
10/06/20264th14/126%63%+0.36
24/06/20265th12/137%43%+0.06
14/07/20265th12/137%0%-0.37
29/07/20262nd3/184%88%+0.03