2
R Admiral
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 77
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength37%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 24/09/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 07/10/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 14/10/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 26/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 10/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 22/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |