7

Runningforjoy
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 88
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength2%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-12-22 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-24 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-10-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength58%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 02/09/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 17/09/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 31/10/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 24/11/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 11/12/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 22/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |