6
Thorn Of Hearts
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 90
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-10-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-09-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-09-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-09-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 22/07/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 11/08/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/09/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 15/09/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 29/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 15/10/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 17/06/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 29/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |